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    Home / Todd's Blog / THE PREPARATION/EXPECTATION EQUATION
    Jun 14, 2026

    THE PREPARATION/EXPECTATION EQUATION

    THE PREPARATION/EXPECTATION EQUATION

    DECONSTRUCTING OUR RECENT PERFORMANCE is critical for improvement. The longer we wait, the foggier our recollection. Details we were sure of...

    ... become memories full of bias.

    It's natural.

    Who wants to remember what went wrong, when we can glory in all that went right?

    Other than screwing up yet another sprint for the line, nothing really went sideways for me at BWR UT.

    And, if I'm being honest, Billy tested my legs on the overpass coming into to town. Whether or not he knew it, and I stayed glued through the the pain...

    ... I was hurting.

    There are a few things that went really right...

    • The chef's pasta the night before at Chef Alfredo's, with Danny and Lisa, was delish and just what I needed.
    • The AirBNB I found at the last minute - a 3-bedroom house was perfect and the beds wonderful.
    • The 8:30 start was a little too late to skip breakfast, so I went with my gut and mowed down a couple of chocolate Entenmann's donuts, half an apple, and a couple of cups of my trusty mushroom hot chocolate.
    • I picked up Skratch Super High Carb and ran 6 scoops in my 2-liter pack and another 3 in one bottle.
    • To stay ahead of cramps, I ate a Salt Stick chews.
    • For the bike set up,
      • Ceramic Speed chain held up really well to all the dust, even after getting doused with cold water by Smitty at the final aid station.
      • The tire pressure was pretty low, 22lbs in back 20lbs up front. I rimmed out a few times over the random chunky stuff while in a paceline. That's always risky. But, I also felt like I was much more comfortable than other competitors who dropped off the group over time.

    ... the last was mindset.

    Preparation vs Expectation.

    I came in pretty rested having spend the previous 2 weeks on my MTB in Park City.

    Because of the altitude, it was difficult to put in hard efforts of any meaningful time. Hours in the saddle were solid, but even a lot of that was spent ripping down hill.

    I'd give me preparation a B, which was fine for a B race.

    Knowing that, my expectations were quite low.

    Here's the point...

    ... poor preparation with high expectations is a formula for frustration and a crummy day on course.

    Whereas...

    ... awesome preparation with low expectations always makes for a fun race and often surprising outcomes.

    ===

    163.6
    7.5 hours sleep
    580 anti-oxidant level, 
    √ Upper Body: 100 push ups, 20 pull ups, hand gripper, heel and toe raises
    √ Lower Body: 70 ATG air squats and 18 split squats with 50lbs
    82/74/7 per Strava
    What I'm reading: Cry Havoc, Jack Carr
    What I'm studying: Prayer, Neville Goddard

    https://www.strava.com/athletes/10248

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    THE PREPARATION/EXPECTATION EQUATION